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Using Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) Extreme Rainfall Forecasts for Extended-range Flood Prediction in Australia : Volume 370, Issue 370 (11/06/2015)

By White, C. J.

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Book Id: WPLBN0004021398
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 6
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Using Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) Extreme Rainfall Forecasts for Extended-range Flood Prediction in Australia : Volume 370, Issue 370 (11/06/2015)  
Author: White, C. J.
Volume: Vol. 370, Issue 370
Language: English
Subject: Science, Proceedings, International
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Publication Date:
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications


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Franks, S. W., Mcevoy, D., & White, C. J. (2015). Using Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) Extreme Rainfall Forecasts for Extended-range Flood Prediction in Australia : Volume 370, Issue 370 (11/06/2015). Retrieved from

Description: School of Engineering and ICT, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia. Meteorological and hydrological centres around the world are looking at ways to improve their capacity to be able to produce and deliver skilful and reliable forecasts of high-impact extreme rainfall and flooding events on a range of prediction timescales (e.g. sub-daily, daily, multi-week, seasonal). Making improvements to extended-range rainfall and flood forecast models, assessing forecast skill and uncertainty, and exploring how to apply flood forecasts and communicate their benefits to decision-makers are significant challenges facing the forecasting and water resources management communities. This paper presents some of the latest science and initiatives from Australia on the development, application and communication of extreme rainfall and flood forecasts on the extended-range subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting timescale, with a focus on risk-based decision-making, increasing flood risk awareness and preparedness, capturing uncertainty, understanding human responses to flood forecasts and warnings, and the growing adoption of climate services. The paper also demonstrates how forecasts of flood events across a range of prediction timescales could be beneficial to a range of sectors and society, most notably for disaster risk reduction (DRR) activities, emergency management and response, and strengthening community resilience. Extended-range S2S extreme flood forecasts, if presented as easily accessible, timely and relevant information are a valuable resource to help society better prepare for, and subsequently cope with, extreme flood events.

Using subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) extreme rainfall forecasts for extended-range flood prediction in Australia

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